STUDY ON BUILDING CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS FOR BINH DUONG PROVINCE

Abstract

In recent decades, due to the climate change impacts, in the Vietnam Southern region, including Binh Duong province, has been greatly affected by extreme weather such as drought, heavy rains causing floods, floods ... The method of climate model simulations is the main method to be used for building the climate change scenarios with high-resolution for Binh Duong province. The paper presents detailed calculations of climate change scenarios based on the RCP4.5 with average emission scenarios and RCP8.5 with the highest emission scenarios. According to RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, the average annual temperatures, the average annual rainfall will increase in periods to 2025, 2030 and 2050 compared to the base period in Binh Duong province. These results help assess the potential climate change impacts and develop climate change action plans in Binh Duong province.