Determinants of E-Government Development: Global Evidence and Policy Implications for Vietnam

Tóm tắt

E-government has become a key instrument for modernizing public administration and delivering
digital public services. This study investigates the determinants of e-government development using the
E-Government Development Index (EGDI) and cross-country data for 177 countries in 2024, compiled from
the United Nations, the World Bank, and WIPO. Multiple linear regression and Bayesian Belief Networks
(BBNs) are employed to assess the effects of economic, institutional, and technological factors. The results
indicate that innovation capacity, government effectiveness, and urbanization exert positive and statistically
significant impacts on EGDI, whereas GDP per capita and inflation show no statistically significant effects.
The BBN sensitivity analysis further suggests that government effectiveness and innovation capacity are the
most influential determinants. These findings imply that digital government development depends not only on
economic resources, but also on governance quality and technological capability. For Vietnam, the results
point to three priority actions: improving government effectiveness, strengthening innovation capacity, and
expanding digital infrastructure to accelerate the delivery of digital public services