Traffic Forecasts and their Influence on the Environment

Các tác giả

  • Thomas Standfuss* Institute of Logistics and Aviation, TU Dresden, Germany
  • Ibon Galarraga Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3); UPV/EHU; Metroeconomica, Spain
  • Itziar Ruiz de Gauna Metroeconomica, Spain
  • Matthias Whittome Functional Airspace Block Europe Central (FABEC), Germany
  • Michael Schultz Bundeswehr University Munich, Germany

Từ khóa:

Air Traffic Management, Forecast, Efficiency, Delay

Tóm tắt

Air navigation service providers ensure safe and efficient flight operations by managing the separation of aircraft. Following a sharp downturn due to the COVID pandemic, air traffic demand is currently recovering. It may be expected that the increasing number of flights directly affects the environment. Based on the STATFOR traffic forecasts from autumn 2021, we use regression analyses to predict delays, emissions, and environmental costs for the years 2021 to 2027. We will show that the uncertainty of traffic demand has significant consequences for environmental performance indicators.

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Đã Xuất bản

2023-06-30

Số

Chuyên mục

Aviation and Tourism Management